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Designed to help you step up your analysis process, “Next Level Charting” shows you how to combine classical charting techniques with quantitative insights. Join renowned technician Arthur Hill as he puts his systematic approach on display, demonstrating how to analyze charts objectively, separate robust assessments from suspect assumptions, and apply an evidence-driven approach to the markets.
Testing Performance For The Trend Composite | Arthur Hill, CMT (06.23)
Today's video will put the Trend Composite indicator to the test on SPY using 125 and 200 days for the settings. As expected, the 125-day Trend Composite generated more signals, but the 200-day Trend Composite performed in line with fewer whipsaws. The drawdown profiles, however, were different.
Setting Your Bias with Market Regime | Arthur Hill, CMT (06.09)
A trading bias is the path of least resistance and this is one of the most important aspects of trading. Today's video will show how to determine directional bias using breadth, trend and yield spreads. We then turn to the five big offensive sectors and show how they confirm this bias.
A Counter-Trend Bounce Until Proven Otherwise | Arthur Hill, CMT (06.02)
Stocks surged at the end of May, but the bounces are still considered counter-trend moves within bigger downtrends. We will show why using SPY and five big offensive sectors. Attention then turns to Platinum because it is making a move and Palladium because it is still setting up bullish.
Comparing Benchmark Lows to Find Strength | Arthur Hill, CMT (05.26)
There are a few ETFs holding up better than the broad market and today's video will show how to find these by comparing benchmark lows. We will also show how to pick a level that negates a short-term breakout and how to combine the Trend Composite with the ATR Trailing Stop in a trend-following s...
Staples Join the Bear Market | Arthur Hill, CMT (05.19)
The Market Regime has been bearish for over a month and the bear is expanding its grip. Today's video will update signals and performance for the Trend Composite strategy that trades the 50 ETFs in the All-Weather list. We will show the drawdowns, good Trend Composite signals, bad signals and the...
Use A Market Regime To Stay On The Right Side | Arthur Hill, CMT (05.12)
The Market Regime is the single most important factor to consider when trading or investing in stocks. Today's video will show how I determine the Market Regime, bull market or bear market, using a breadth model and yield spreads. We will also show that the bear is extending its grip because more...
Gaining Some Perspective on the S&P | Arthur Hill, CMT (04.21)
Today’s video starts by showing the value of plain charts in the analysis process. We then zoom out on SPY to gain some perspective and zoom in for some tactical analysis of the current setup in play. There is also a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern in QQQ, but I am not buying into it...
Influence Analysis of Broad Market Conditions | Arthur Hill, CMT (04.14)
SPY is holding up much better than the other major index ETFs, but broad market conditions are not bullish and this is influencing my chart analysis. Today's video will show how breadth and key group performance influence my outlook for SPY. I will also show why XLB is a better alternative.
Best Ways to Identify Oversold Conditions | Arthur Hill, CMT (04.07)
After a huge advance in March, the market turned defensive and SPY moved into pullback mode in April. Today's video will show how to identify oversold setups using the Momentum Composite and how to identify sentiment extremes using three indicators.
Fourth Bullish Price Thrust in Four Years | Arthur Hill, CMT (03.31)
The S&P 500 SPDR surged over 10% in 11 days and this amounts to a bullish price thrust. Today's video looks at some prior price thrusts of similar magnitude. We also dive into candlesticks, the Trend Composite signal for SPY and the wild ride in palladium.
Seven Themes Going Forward | Arthur Hill, CMT (03.23)
The broad market environment remains bearish overall, but some trading themes emerged over the last four weeks. After reviewing the Market Regime, today's video will highlight ETFs related to these themes with a Performance Chart and individual price charts.
Quantifying & Comparing Volatility | Arthur Hill, CMT (03.17)
Volatility in the markets is well above average this year and today's video will show how to quantify and compare volatility using the High-Low Range Percent indicator. We will look at the volatility surge and trend reversal in SPY as well as the parabolic moves in the DB Energy ETF and Gold SPDR...
Trading The Swing In Clean Energy | Arthur Hill, CMT (03.10)
Today's video will analyze bonds, two breakouts and a swing reversal. First, inflationary pressures are having a bigger impact on the bond market than their appeal as a safe-haven. Second, Silver and Defense ETFs broke out and reversed downtrends. Third, two clean-energy ETFs reversed downswings ...
Slim Pickings, But Some Big Breakouts | Arthur Hill, CMT (03.03)
Today's video will start with a broad market overview and analyze the weight of the evidence. There are big pockets of weakness in the market, but there are also some big breakouts working in ETFs related to defense, steel and agriculture.
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My Favorite SMA Cross For The S&P 500 | Arthur Hill, CMT
The 200-day SMA is the hot topic this year as the S&P 500 crosses above and below this key metric. Today's video will tests signals based on crosses of the 200-day and quantify results. We will then test some different SMA combos and reveal my favorite. Testing will also extend to QQQ, MDY and IW...
Tracking The Trend Until It Bends | Arthur Hill, CMT (02.17)
This is the fourth installment covering the key indicators in the TIP Indicator Edge Plugin. Today we will explain the method behind the madness in three trend indicators and then turn to the ATR Trailing Stop. This stop can be used in conjunction with the Trend Composite to ride the trend until ...
Superior Pullback Trading Strategies | Arthur Hill, CMT
Trading in the direction of the bigger trend is as classic as it gets when it comes to strategies. Today's video will show how the use the Trend Composite for trend identification and the Momentum Composite to find setups in the direction of the bigger trend. We will also show the five indicators...
Ranking And Filtering Signals With StochClose | Arthur Hill, CMT
Today's video will show how to use StochClose for ranking ETFs and filtering trend signals. Sometimes we have more signals than portfolio spots and need to choose. StochClose quantifies price performance and we can compare StochClose values to separate the leaders from the laggards.
Breaking Down The Trend Composite | Arthur Hill, CMT
The Trend Composite is my go-to indicator for trend signals and staying on the right side of the trend. Today's video will break down the indicators driving this indicator. We will then look at recent signals in QQQ, IGV, XLE and KRE, and finish with an overview of signals for stocks in the S&P 5...
Commodities Steal the Show in 2022 | Arthur Hill, CMT (01.20)
Today's video will show that relative weakness in small-caps is a non-issue. It just means avoid small-caps. The S&P 500 EW ETF remains in an uptrend and three key SPX breadth indicators are still bullish. Attention then turns to the market leaders for 2022 as we analyze three commodity ETFs.
How Many Setups/Signals Should We Expect Per Year? | Arthur Hill, CMT (01.06)
Today's video starts with the recent breakout in SPY and continued leadership in semis. We then look at setting realistic expectations for setups and signals in a given year. I will show some examples using SOXX and the recent breakout in XOP. We will finished with relative weakness in the Softwa...
Trend-Following: Theory, Expectations and Reality - Special | Arthur Hill, CMT
Trend-following is a systematic and rules-based strategy for trading in the direction of the underlying trend. Trend-following strategies originated in the commodity markets and benefited from broad diversification. These strategies can also be applied to stocks, however, some adjustments are nee...
Small-Caps Lag as Clean Energy ETFs Come Alive | Arthur Hill, CMT (10.28)
Small-caps and micro-caps continue to drag their feet as large-caps hit new highs and continue to lead. We can blame this on the largest small-cap sector and its subset. Elsewhere, Clean Energy ETFs are coming alive with new trend signals. We will also break down the StochClose trend indicator an...
Watch These New Trend Signals In ARK ETFs | Arthur Hill, CMT
Today's show starts with an overview of StochClose, which is a trend-following indicator. We will then show some signal examples, both good and bad, as well as some backtest results. Attention then turns to the recent signals for five ARK ETFs.
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