After an update on the current rotations for various asset classes, Julius looks at the sector rotation model and and tries to make an assessment on where, and which phase, we currently are in the market cycle. He does this by evaluating the charts and rotations of the four macro economic indicators / factors that are important drivers for this model, as well as looking at the relative trends for all 11 sectors, aligning these rotations with the sine waves of the Sector Rotation Model.
In this first episode of Sector Spotlight for the month of July, Julius dives into the status of the long term trends as they are unfolding on the monthly charts. The main message from the asset classes is that the bond market is clear: Corporate- and High-Yield bond issuers need to pay up for in...
On this last Tuesday of the month, Julius takes a look at seasonal sector rotation and tries to align that with the current reality to see if meaningful matches can be found. For this month, four sectors are providing potentially interesting rotations from a seasonal perspective.
After a quick l...
Julius starts this episode of Sector Spotlight by answering two questions from the mailbag. He then moves on to the current rotation of asset classes and observes that a more pronounced pause in the turnaround for commodities seems imminent. Meanwhile, signals that the rotation from stocks to bon...