US Equity "Go" Trend Wobbles | GoNoGo Charts (12.15)
Alex and Tyler review markets following the recent 50 basis point hike from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. While the relief rally in the S&P 500 has retained its "Go" trend conditions, early warning signs from GoNoGo Oscillator suggest negative momentum as a threat to the durability of the recent run. On longer timeframes, $SPY shows a weaker "NoGo" on pink bars and a neutral inflection point for momentum.
Using a risk proxy ratio HYG:TLT Alex and Tyler highlight the risk-off behavior in the bond market even in the face of the recent equity rally. Defensive sectors outperform the index on a relative basis with outperformance in both healthcare ($XLV) and staples ($XLP) leading. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shows a strong "Go" trend which is somewhat unique in an otherwise heavy market.